RATING
AND DEBATE
Decided
Former
Prime Minister Jose Manuel Barroso told parliament in June 2004
that his government would hold a referendum. His successor, Pedro
Santana Lopes, reaffirmed this commitment and April 2005 has been
mooted as a possible date. Both the right-of-centre Social Democrats,
who lead the governing coalition, and the opposition Socialists
were in favour of a referendum, but there were also fears about
a low turnout in a referendum. Jose Manuel Durao Barroso, advised
Portugal on 06.12.04 to delay the referendum because of the country's
political crisis spawned by an early vote call.
The new Socialist government announced on 12.03.2005 that it would
seek to have the Portuguese Constitution amended to allow a vote
on the EU charter to be held jointly with the regional elections
in October.
Finally on 2 June 2005 the majority-holding Socialists and the opposition
Social Democrats agreed a common text to reform the Portuguese Constitution,
in order to allow a referendum on the EU Constitution. The Parliament
was set to vote on the text in a plenary session no later than June
15 and the Portuguese were set to vote on the Constitution simultaneously
with local elections in December 2005.
Despite
the results of the French and Dutch referenda the Portuguese government
kept officially the referenda date. Nevertheless Foreign Minister
Diogo Freitas do Amaral said his personal opinion was that the treaty
was no longer viable and the Union should begin to work on a new
treaty. In this sense he confirmed in a meeting with his counterparts
in Lisbon on 15 June that the Portuguese government considered already
before the EU summit to postpone the referendum, which was confirmed
by Prime Minister Jose Socrates on 17.06.2005 in Brussels.
An opinion poll conducted by Marktest for the TSF radio station
and the Diario de Noticias published on 29.06.2005, showed that
only a minority of the Portuguese would have voted "yes"
to the treaty if a referendum had taken place on this date. According
to the poll the number of Portuguese in favour of the constitution
has dropped from 54.4 per cent in May to 36.6 per cent in June.
While 32.5 per cent said it would be senseless to continue the ratification
process, 47.3 per cent of the polled said it still makes sense to
hold a referendum despite the negative responses in other countries.
Eurobarometer
(2006), The Future of Europe - Results for Portugal,
Special Eurobarometer 251, Fieldwork: 23/02 – 15/03 2006.
(PDF
Eurobarometer
report, (February 2004): 81%
rather agree, 10% rather disagree*
*Are
you rather agree or rather disagree with the statement: The European
Union must adopt a Constitution.
Eurobarometer
report, (January 2005): 40% favourable, 7% opposed*
*Based
on what you know, would you say that you are in favour of or opposed
to the draft European Constitution?
Eurobarometer
report, (July 2005): 59% favourable, 12% opposed*
*Based
on the question, are you for or against a constitution for the European
Union?
Latest
News
17.06.2005 Portugal postpones EU consitution
referendum. EUbusiness.com
06.06.2005
Portugal to keep October vote on EU constitution despite British
move. EUbusiness.com
02.06.2005
Portugal vows to keep October vote on EU treaty despite Dutch, French
'no'. EUbusiness.com
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